Soften Ice Night: 2.8x storm_02's hail was a wall, not a night

Measured against A's gate-1 winning line (t2+p3+p4+t2b, 4x shackle + spare,
tension 1.0, one repair) under an identical harness: the first draft's 26 s
hold gave 32 hail-seconds and landed ~39 HP below storm_02. That is not a
harder night — no amount of play recovers 39 HP when you are already flying the
best rig the shop sells. Hold 26 -> 12 s puts it at 21.1 hail-seconds (1.6x
storm_02, was 2.8x) and 13 HP below it, which excellent rigging + the repair +
the broom can answer — and night 5 arrives with four nights of banked money,
which is the campaign's own answer to escalation.

Week now: gust 11.3 / 21.4 / 21.2 / 32.3 / 28.3, hail-seconds 0 / 2.4 / 2.4 /
11.4 / 21.1. Force ramps then plateaus while the question changes underneath.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
m3ultra 2026-07-17 09:29:17 +10:00
parent 40be89c238
commit 121e169981

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@ -37,14 +37,14 @@
"rain": { "peakMmPerHour": 80, "curve": [[0, 0], [10, 0.25], [35, 0.6], [55, 0.85], [70, 1.0], [90, 0.7]] },
"_hail_comment": "The trick. storm_02 hails ~11 seconds all night; this holds 26 s at full intensity straight through the change, plus size 1.4 stones and ice on every gust ≥9 (a lower bar than storm_02's 10, so more of them carry it). Expect ~3x storm_02's hail-seconds — a bare bed should be stripped, and a bed under cloth that HOLDS should still come through.",
"_hail_comment": "The trick, and it is TUNED not maxed. storm_02 hails ~11.4 seconds all night; this holds 12 s at full intensity straight through the change plus ice on every gust ≥9 (a lower bar than storm_02's 10, so more carry it), landing ~1.6x storm_02's hail-seconds with size 1.4 stones. The first draft ran a 26 s hold for 32 hail-seconds — 2.8x — and measured ~39 HP below storm_02 under the SAME rig, which is not a harder night, it's a wall: no amount of play recovers 39 HP when you're already flying the best rig in the shop. 1.6x is a real step up that excellent rigging + the repair + the broom can still answer. Winnability across all five nights is balance.test.js's job (B holds the pen) — these variants need to be in its storm list.",
"hail": {
"size": 1.4,
"withGustsAbove": 9,
"gustBurstIntensity": 0.9,
"bursts": [
{ "t": 48, "ramp": 2, "hold": 26, "fade": 3, "intensity": 1.0 }
{ "t": 50, "ramp": 2, "hold": 12, "fade": 3, "intensity": 1.0 }
]
},